Potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on future birth rate

Ullah, M.A., Moin, A.T., Araf, Y., Bhuiyan, A.R., Griffiths, M.D. ORCID: 0000-0001-8880-6524 and Gozal, D., 2020. Potential effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on future birth rate. Frontiers in Public Health, 8: 578438. ISSN 2296-2565

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Here, we examine the potential effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on future birth rates. This highly contagious disease originated in China, and rapidly spread worldwide, leading to extensive lockdown policies being implemented globally with the aim of containing the infection rates and its serious attendant consequences. Based on previous extant literature, this paper overviews the potential demographic consequences of the current progressively widespread epidemic on conception and fertility as driven by the data obtained during similar prior incidents. In general, epidemics manifest a common pattern as far as their impact on population, which is remarkably similar to natural disasters, i.e., a steep decline in birth rates followed by gradual increases and then followed by a baby boom. Additionally, we have also depicted how economic conditions, mental health, fear, and mortality may also influence future birth rates.

Item Type: Journal article
Publication Title: Frontiers in Public Health
Creators: Ullah, M.A., Moin, A.T., Araf, Y., Bhuiyan, A.R., Griffiths, M.D. and Gozal, D.
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 10 December 2020
Volume: 8
ISSN: 2296-2565
Rights: Copyright © 2020 Ullah, Moin, Araf, Bhuiyan, Griffiths and Gozal. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
Divisions: Schools > School of Social Sciences
Record created by: Linda Sullivan
Date Added: 15 Dec 2020 11:24
Last Modified: 31 May 2021 15:09
URI: https://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/41859

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