Heat demand prediction: a real-life data model vs simulated data model comparison

Naik, K and Ianakiev, A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1413-8110, 2021. Heat demand prediction: a real-life data model vs simulated data model comparison. Energy Reports, 7 (supp 4), pp. 380-388. ISSN 2352-4847

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Abstract

In the recent years machine learning algorithms have developed further and various applications are taking advantage of this advancement. Modern machine learning is now used in district heating for more precise and realistic heat demand prediction. Machine learning methods like Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Linear Regression (LR), and Decision Tree (DT) are commonly adopted in heat demand prediction to produce more accurate results. This research paper compares the performance of several machine learning methods on different datasets generated by the combination of simulations and real-life data collected from a local district heating site in Nottingham. The result shows that Linear Regression generates better prediction than Artificial Neural Network and Decision Tree, for dataset generated using simulator, whereas Decision Tree performs best for real-life data.

Item Type:	Journal article
Publication Title:	Energy Reports
Creators:	Naik, K. and Ianakiev, A.
Publisher:	Elsevier
Date:	October 2021
Volume:	7
Number:	supp 4
ISSN:	2352-4847
Identifiers:	Number Type 10.1016/j.egyr.2021.08.093 DOI 1476772 Other S2352484721006958 Publisher Item Identifier
Rights:	© 2021 the author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Divisions:	Schools > School of Architecture, Design and the Built Environment
Record created by:	Jeremy Silvester
Date Added:	08 Oct 2021 17:00
Last Modified:	29 Oct 2021 14:15
URI:	https://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/44377

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