Patterns and predictors of stranger rape locations

Lundrigan, S, Weir, R, Newton, A ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2491-8401, Agudelo, K and Dhami, M, 2022. Patterns and predictors of stranger rape locations. European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research. ISSN 0928-1371

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Abstract

This paper examines the spatial, environmental, and temporal patterns of 10,488 stranger rapes committed over a 15-year period in Greater London, UK. We distinguished between two types of stranger rapes according to perpetrator method of approach, i.e. absent/fleeting interaction with victim on approach (S1) or extended interaction with victim on approach (S2). There were a range of locational settings in which perpetrators both encountered their victims and where the offence took place, and these differed by method of approach. The highest number of S1 offences occurred outdoors, with 74% of approaches and 55% of offences located recorded as outside. For S2 rapes, there was more variety in approach locations with only 32% outside. The level of locational correspondence between approach and offence location was 71% for S1 rapes and 28% for S2 rapes. A series of negative binomial regression models identified variables predictive of stranger rape offence location. There were significant associations with transport connections and the night-time economy for both S1 and S2 rapes. Other significant predictors were deprivation score, the percentage of one person properties, and the percentage of private rented properties in a location. The percentage of green space was a significant predictor for S1 rapes only. The current findings challenge the popular narrative that stranger rape occurs in a specific setting (i.e. outside in a secluded location at night) and have implications for place-based crime prevention policy.

Item Type:	Journal article
Publication Title:	European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research
Creators:	Lundrigan, S., Weir, R., Newton, A., Agudelo, K. and Dhami, M.
Publisher:	Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date:	13 December 2022
ISSN:	0928-1371
Identifiers:	Number Type 10.1007/s10610-022-09535-5 DOI 1627760 Other
Rights:	© The Author(s) 2022. Open Access. This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
Divisions:	Schools > School of Social Sciences
Record created by:	Linda Sullivan
Date Added:	14 Dec 2022 12:07
Last Modified:	14 Dec 2022 12:08
URI:	https://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/47659

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