Aid and developing regional integration

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Lim, KY and Liu, C ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3770-4821, 2024. Aid and developing regional integration. International Review of Economics and Finance. ISSN 1059-0560 (Forthcoming)

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Abstract

This paper examines megatrends and interdependence of the loan aid-capital investment links across developing regions. Theoretically, it contributes to the existing studies by providing a novel theoretical framework with a dual-objective donor-giving grant (driven by a benevolent objective) and loan aid (profitability motive), as well as a public-private partnership-like investment structure and multi-region feedback mechanism. Empirically, this paper adds to the literature by allowing for cross-heterogeneity and interdependencies across regions of loan aid-capital investment link. We estimate a panel structural VAR model of grant aid, loan aid, private consumption, and aggregate capital stock using data from nine developing regional country blocs covering the 1961-2017 period. Amidst a generally weak aid-investment link, we find loan aid to Granger causes capital accumulation, and among African regions, it is the most (least) productive - in terms of within- and spillover effects - in the IGAD (ECOWAS) region. In addition, our results suggest deeper regional integration between the Sub-Saharan African regions than the collective Latin American & Caribbean regions and the two Southern Asian regions (Southeast Asia and South Asia) examined.

Item Type:	Journal article
Publication Title:	International Review of Economics and Finance
Creators:	Lim, K.Y. and Liu, C.
Publisher:	Elsevier
Date:	1 May 2024
ISSN:	1059-0560
Identifiers:	Number Type 1890587 Other
Divisions:	Schools > Nottingham Business School
Record created by:	Jonathan Gallacher
Date Added:	01 May 2024 15:51
Last Modified:	01 May 2024 15:51
URI:	https://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/51374