Increases in disadvantage and instability are associated with rising violence

Tura, F, Weir, R, Blom, N and Adeniyi, O ORCID logoORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9888-0063, 2025. Increases in disadvantage and instability are associated with rising violence. British Journal of Criminology. ISSN 0007-0955

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Abstract

This study explores the relationship between changes in neighbourhood characteristics and changes in violence rates across England and Wales from 2011 to 2021. Rising social disadvantage, particularly increased unemployment, poor health, lone-parent households, residential mobility, and social housing, was significantly associated with rising violence. While overall ethnic heterogeneity was not linked to violence, increases in heterogeneity were more strongly associated with violence in areas where poor health and low qualifications also rose. Growth in transport infrastructure was linked to rising violence, suggesting that increased footfall may elevate risk. Findings highlight the need to address structural inequalities through investment in housing, health, education, and community stability. Policy responses should extend beyond criminal justice to promote long-term violence reduction and community wellbeing.

Item Type: Journal article
Publication Title: British Journal of Criminology
Creators: Tura, F., Weir, R., Blom, N. and Adeniyi, O.
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 15 October 2025
ISSN: 0007-0955
Identifiers:
Number
Type
10.1093/bjc/azaf080
DOI
2500405
Other
Rights: This is a pre-copyedited, author-produced version of an article accepted for publication in British Journal of Criminology following peer review. The version of record of Tura, F., Weir, R., Blom, N., & Adeniyi, O. (2025). Increases in disadvantage and instability are associated with rising violence. British Journal of Criminology is available online at: https://doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azaf080
Divisions: Schools > Nottingham Business School
Record created by: Laura Borcherds
Date Added: 19 Sep 2025 14:08
Last Modified: 04 Nov 2025 08:58
URI: https://irep.ntu.ac.uk/id/eprint/54379

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