Items where Author is "Vaughan Williams, L"

Journal article

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., GARRETT, T.A. and PATON, D., 2021. Taxing gambling machines to enhance tourism. The Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, 13 (2), pp. 83-90. ISSN 1751-7990

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and KENNEDY, J., 2021. Predicting in-play match decisions: evidence from a closed-door environment. Journal of Prediction Markets, 15 (3), pp. 99-103. ISSN 1750-6751

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2021. The Doomsday Argument. Significance, 18 (5), p. 48. ISSN 1740-9705

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., LIU, C., DIXON, L. and GERRARD, H., 2020. How well do Elo-based ratings predict professional tennis matches? Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports. ISSN 2194-6388

GARRETT, T., VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and PATON, D., 2020. Taxing gambling machines to enhance public and private revenue. Kyklos. ISSN 0023-5962

READE, J.J., SINGLETON, C. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2020. Betting markets for English Premier League results and scorelines: evaluating a simple forecasting model. Economic Issues, 25 (1), pp. 85-106.

COLLINS, A., MCKENZIE, J. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. When is a talent contest not a talent contest? Sequential performance bias in expert evaluation. Economics Letters, 177, pp. 94-98. ISSN 0165-1765

READE, J.J. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. Polls to probabilities: comparing prediction markets and opinion polls. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1-2), pp. 336-350. ISSN 0169-2070

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., SUNG, M. and JOHNSON, J.E.V., 2019. Prediction markets: theory, evidence and applications. International Journal of Forecasting, 35 (1), pp. 266-270. ISSN 0169-2070

BROWN, A., READE, J.J. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2018. When are prediction market prices most informative? International Journal of Forecasting. ISSN 0169-2070

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and READE, J.J., 2016. Prediction Markets, Social Media and Information Efficiency. Kyklos, 69 (3), pp. 518-556. ISSN 0023-5962

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and READE, J.J., 2016. Forecasting Elections. Journal of Forecasting, 35 (4), pp. 308-328. ISSN 0277-6693

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., SUNG, M.-C., FRASER-MACKENZIE, P.A.F., PEIRSON, J. and JOHNSON, J.E.V., 2016. Towards an understanding of the origins of the favourite-longshot bias: evidence from online poker markets, a real-money natural laboratory. Economica. ISSN 0013-0427

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and PATON, D., 2015. Forecasting the Outcome of Closed-Door Decisions: Evidence from 500 Years of Betting on Papal Conclaves. Journal of Forecasting, 34 (5), pp. 391-404. ISSN 0277-6693

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Forecasting the decisions of the US Supreme Court: lessons from the ‘affordable care act’ judgment. The Journal of Prediction Markets, 9 (2), pp. 64-78. ISSN 1750-676X

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2014. The Churchill betting tax, 1926-30: a historical and economic perspective. Economic Issues, 19 (2), pp. 21-38. ISSN 1363-7029

PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2013. Do New Gambling Products Displace Old? Evidence from a Postcode Analysis. Regional Studies, 47 (6), pp. 963-973. ISSN 0034-3404

PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2013. Do new gambling machines displace old? Evidence from a postcode analysis [forthcoming]. Regional Studies, 47 (6), pp. 963-973. ISSN 0034-3404

SMITH, M. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2010. Forecasting horse race outcomes: new evidence on odds bias in UK betting markets. International Journal of Forecasting, 26 (3), pp. 543-550.

PATON, D., SIEGEL, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2010. Gambling, prediction markets and public policy. Southern Economic Journal, 76 (4), pp. 878-883.

PATON, D., SIEGEL, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2010. Productivity measurement in gambling: plant-level evidence from the United Kingdom. Southern Economic Journal, 76 (4), pp. 953-975.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and STEKLER, H., 2010. Sports forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 26 (3), pp. 445-447.

SMITH, M., PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2009. Do bookmakers possess superior skills to bettors? Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 71 (2), pp. 539-549.

PATON, D., SIEGEL, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2009. The growth of gambling and prediction markets. Economica, 76 (302), pp. 219-224.

SMITH, M.A., PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2006. Market efficiency in person-to-person betting. Economica, 73 (292), pp. 673-689. ISSN 0013-0427

PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2005. Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use 'quarbs' to beat the book? Journal of Forecasting, 24 (2), pp. 139-154. ISSN 0277-6693

PATON, D., SIEGEL, D.S. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2004. Taxation and the demand for gambling: new evidence from the United Kingdom. National Tax Journal, 57 (4), pp. 847-861. ISSN 0028-0283

PATON, D., SIEGEL, D.S. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2002. A policy response to the e-commerce revolution: the case of betting taxation in the UK. Economic Journal, 112 (480). ISSN 0013-0133

PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2001. Monopoly rents and price fixing in betting markets. Review of Industrial Organization, 19 (3), pp. 265-278. ISSN 0889-938X

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and PATON, D., 1997. Why is there a favourite-longshot bias in british racetrack betting markets. Economic Journal, 107 (440), pp. 150-158. ISSN 0013-0133

Authored book

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2022. Probability, choice, and reason. Abingdon: CRC Press. ISBN 9780367538934

Chapter in book

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and READE, J.J., 2020. Sports forecasting. In: Wiley StatsRef: statistics reference online. Wiley. ISBN 9781118445112

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L. and PATON, D., 2013. The taxation of gambling machines: a theoretical perspective. In: L. VAUGHAN WILLIAMS and D.S. SIEGEL, eds., The Oxford handbook of the economics of gambling. Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp. 692-700. ISBN 9780199797912

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2008. Betting exchanges: a technological revolution in sports betting. In: W.T. ZIEMBA, ed., Handbooks of finance. Elsevier, pp. 403-418.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2008. Index betting for sports and stock indices. In: W.T. ZIEMBA, ed., Handbooks of finance. Elsevier, pp. 357-384.

Conference contribution

COLLINS, A., MCKENZIE, J. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. When is a talent contest not a talent contest? Sequential performance bias in expert evaluation. In: 9th European Workshop on Applied Cultural Economics, CBS, Copenhagen, Denmark, 5-7 September 2019.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. How well do Elo-based ratings predict professional tennis matches? In: 39th International Symposium on Forecasting 2019, Thessaloniki, Greece, 16-19 June 2019.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. The curious case of betting taxation in the UK. In: 17th International Conference on Gambling and Risk Taking, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States, 27-30 May 2019.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. Optimal taxation of gambling machines. In: 87th International Atlantic Economic Society Conference, Athens, Greece, 27-30 March 2019.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2018. New ideas for regulating and taxing gambling. In: 12th European Conference on Gambling Studies and Policy Issues, Valletta, Malta, 11-14 September 2018.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2018. The regulation and taxation of gambling in the UK. In: 85th International Atlantic Economic Conference, London, 14-17 March 2018.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2017. The regulation of UK gambling. In: 83rd International Atlantic Economic Conference, Berlin, Germany, 22-25 March 2017.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. Forecasting US elections. In: 82nd International Atlantic Economic Conference, Washington DC, United States, 13-16 October 2016.

SUNG, M., JOHNSON, J.E.V., MCDONALD, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. New insights into the prevalence of herding and its effects on financial market efficiency. In: Asia Pacific Conference on Economics & Finance (APEF 2016), Singapore, 27-28 July 2016.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. How well do markets forecast event outcomes? In: 81st International Atlantic Economics Society Conference, Lisbon, Portugal, 16-19 March 2016.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Polls and prediction markets: UK election 2015. In: Market Research in the Mobile World (MRMW) Conference, London, 15-17 September 2015.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Forecasting closed-door decisions. In: Business & Economics Society International Conference (B & ESI 2015), Riviera Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States, 10-13 January 2015, Las Vegas, Nevada.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Forecasting using social media. In: 3rd International Interdisciplinary Business Economics Advancement Conference (IIBA 2015), Fort Lauderdale, Florida, United States, 28 March - 2 April 2015, Fort Lauderdale, Florida.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Social media and betting markets. In: 79th International Atlantic Economic Conference, Milan, Italy, 11-14 March 2015, Milan, Italy.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2014. Taxation developments in UK gambling sector. In: Asia-Pacific Gambling Symposium, Macau, China, 8-12 July 2014, Macau, China.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2011. The uses and abuses of prediction markets in the prevention of terrorism. In: Business and Economics Society International Conference, Split, Croatia, July 2011, Split.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2010. Corporate applications of prediction markets. In: International Institute of Forecasters Symposium, San Diego, June 2010, San Diego.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2010. The taxation of e-commerce: lessons from the UK. In: International Trade and Finance Association, Las Vegas, May 2010, Las Vegas.

Confidential report for external body

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. Gambling machines. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.

PATON, D. and VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2004. Study of gambling duties. A report for the National Audit Office. National Audit Office.

Edited book

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2014. Prediction markets: theory and applications. Routledge International Studies in Marketing and Banking . Abingdon: Routledge. ISBN 9781138802902

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2012. The economics of gambling and national lotteries. The international library of critical writings in economics, 263 . Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. ISBN 9781843763444

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2011. Prediction markets: theory and applications. London: Routledge.

Journal editorship

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2007. The Journal Of Gambling Business And Economics. Buckingham: University of Buckingham Press.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2007. The Journal of Prediction Markets. Buckingham: University of Buckingham Press.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2005. Economic Issues. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.

Newspaper or popular journal contribution

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. Election polls: how they are made and why it's so hard to get them right. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2019. Strictly Come Dancing: research shows that the luck of the draw matters in talent shows. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2018. US presidential elections: why a Democrat is now favourite to win in 2020. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. The madness of crowds, polls and experts confirmed by Trump victory. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. As Trump and Clinton hit the home stretch, look beyond the polls. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. How the wisdom of crowds could solve the mystery of Shakespeare’s ‘lost plays’. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2016. After weeks of chaos, the smart money is backing Donald Trump. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. The Nobel Prize prediction industry: far from perfect, but pretty impressive. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. What happened to MH370? Prediction markets might give us the answer. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Same-sex ruling was no surprise to Supreme Court gamblers - and shouldn’t be to you either. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. How looking at bad polls can show Labour how to win the next election. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. Why the polls got it so wrong in the British election. The Conversation.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2015. If you want to know who will win the election, ask a gambler. Daily Telegraph. ISSN 0307-1235

Research report for external body

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2008. British gambling prevalence survey: secondary analysis. Gambling Commission.

Thesis

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 1997. An examination of information efficiency in financial markets, with special reference to British racetrack betting markets. PhD, Nottingham Trent University.

Website content

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2017. Professor Leighton Vaughan Williams academic and personal blog. WordPress.

Working paper

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., LIU, C. and GERRARD, H., 2019. How well do Elo-based ratings predict professional tennis matches? Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2014. The US Supreme Court and the 'Affordable Care Act': an exercise in closed-door forecasting. Nottingham: Nottingham Trent University.

Other

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2008. Betting on the US elections. ABC News.

VAUGHAN WILLIAMS, L., 2008. Betting on the US elections. BBC News 24.